Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 356.687030 405.386928 459.800875 525.382336 602.644117 691.216082 801.073141
2025-07-27 284.564064 347.922731 425.358032 528.075338 662.429977 834.555766 1075.636299
2025-08-03 237.931017 304.697651 391.141582 513.311763 684.901456 922.575846 1286.284245
2025-08-10 206.780950 274.505862 366.247376 502.649242 705.703750 1005.943821 1501.785505
2025-08-17 191.076252 262.043972 362.226032 518.350071 763.894868 1150.574592 1839.227196
2025-08-24 174.070874 245.174756 349.027672 517.382003 794.861900 1256.424426 2135.562192
2025-08-31 158.342038 228.147059 333.125605 509.233573 811.722694 1340.182107 2410.598935
2025-09-07 147.514781 217.197815 324.968088 511.861365 846.155431 1459.477143 2782.146147
2025-09-14 135.439679 203.037697 310.056695 500.920253 854.345229 1530.875512 3073.013959
2025-09-21 126.605342 193.153208 300.952204 498.611219 877.523863 1634.750919 3462.635472
2025-09-28 115.405008 178.441379 282.363702 477.045705 860.494193 1653.335489 3657.534404
2025-10-05 112.068688 176.444744 285.135082 494.806710 923.512932 1853.199945 4363.047097
2025-10-12 109.307612 175.307910 289.502174 516.596107 999.528288 2101.458578 5297.754233
2025-10-19 103.876217 169.105206 284.231957 518.963809 1034.672637 2262.887282 6052.650370
2025-10-26 96.709909 159.267419 271.395729 504.515443 1030.019326 2325.116479 6527.365094
2025-11-02 90.747121 151.150719 261.075508 494.073141 1032.968159 2407.768855 7105.188058
2025-11-09 88.453166 149.527288 262.908781 509.448997 1099.546767 2676.960079 8464.777598
2025-11-16 84.444582 144.420023 257.524209 508.501026 1125.962721 2840.421930 9514.778851
2025-11-23 79.999059 138.182187 249.392699 500.521449 1133.301642 2949.964221 10407.337955
2025-11-30 77.003735 134.501064 246.081056 503.094848 1168.657187 3154.734093 11833.726103
2025-12-07 72.914181 128.440894 237.448185 492.379817 1166.624136 3240.182278 12763.008939
2025-12-14 69.928140 124.354595 232.596558 490.118366 1187.750641 3408.853409 14219.493302
2025-12-21 65.427480 117.016054 220.418815 468.995003 1152.303523 3374.597486 14590.342774